Last week we took a look at some of the best future plays in the college ranks for this upcoming season, this week we will take note of some of the best NFL future plays this year.
As with College Football, most of the public bet on things like MVP and Super Bowl winners. While they are 'fun' bets, they also come with some pretty weak values. The MVP award has been awarded to a QB in 11 straight years and 16 of the past 17 seasons, while the Super Bowl has been won by a top 4 favorite in 5 of the last 7 years. That means there is only small value on these long term futures.
The value plays lie in players futures, division winners and team totals, which we will look at today. Here are the best future plays for the NFL season in 2024:
Detroit Lions to win the NFC North + 140 odds:
This is a situation where not many people are against the Lions, but they want a bigger score. Detroit is getting plenty of action coming from people who believe this team is ready to own the NFC and be the Super Bowl champions, yet they are still plus money to win their own division. Detroit is a complete team and they showed it last season. They play just three games outdoors all season long and their main competitor are the Packers, who are relying on a ton of new pieces and youngsters. If you believe in the Lions don't be suckered into the huge odds and big payday, instead take the nice plus money and win the division.
Jacksonville Jaguars Over 8 wins:The Jaguars were a 9 win team last year and that was despite a slew of injuries all over the field. Trevor Lawrence was clearly banged up and hobbled late in the season, but this team still went over .500 and they should once again. Their defense will be improved and their offense wasn't a problem last year. The schedule is middle of the road and while the first 4 weeks they have to be on the road three times, the end of their schedule gets much easier late.
Breece Hall most regular season rushing TDs +1800:Now this is the type of longshot play that makes some sense. Hall will be the lead back on a run first team (despite Aaron Rodgers) and his competition all have running QB concerns. Derrick Henry leads the field, but he will have scores taken away from him by a running Lamar Jackson. The same can be said about Jonathan Taylor and his young running QB and Saquon Barkley, where his QB actually is projected to have more rushing scores than he will. Then you have the RB by committee worries with David Montgomery, Kyren Williams, Bijan Robinson and Raheem Mostert. That leaves Hall vs. McCaffrey. McCaffrey is already banged up in camp and much of CMC's value comes from pass catching. These odds are too good to pass up.
To Pass for 4,000 yards - Josh Allen and Jared Goff:These aren't the sexiest picks and both are about even money, but there is little evidence that both of these won't cash. Allen has thrown for more than 4,000 yards in four consecutive seasons. He might have lost Diggs, but his new offensive coordinator loves the short passing game, and he has the tools to utilize that well. Goff meanwhile, has gone over 4,000 yards each of the past two seasons, he is in a pass happy offense with great weapons, and he plays all of three games outdoors. Both of these should cash with ease.
Over 1,00 receiving yards - DJ Moore:DJ Moore has a new QB in a high flying offense and everything says the Bears will be throwing often. Moore has secured the largest contract in Bears history and you can bet they will feed him the ball. Moore has had absolutely terrible QB play in his career yet he still has 1,000+ yards receiving in 4 of the past 5 seasons. His only year he did not hit that mark he finished with 888 in a year where he caught just 63 balls. If you can get to 1,000 yards with the likes of Justin Fields, Kyle Allen, Teddy Bridgewater, Sam Darnold and Baker Mayfield, you can count on it from Williams.