In sports betting you have two camps as it looks at trends. Those who like to follow the trends and those who believe that past data has no reference for what the future will hold. For those who agree with that notion this might not be for you, but it's hard to argue with these numbers.
As the sun goes down in the NFL, seemingly so does scoring. Before we go into the pure numbers game let's make sure we understand a few things about prime time numbers. First, the public will be betting the prime time, stand alone, games more than any over most weekends. That means that the public will be taking what they usually do, and that means overs. The line makers will bake this into the total and adjust in anticipation of what the public will do. Second, many prime time games pit two good teams against each other, and most 'good' teams have solid defenses.
With that said the prime time under trends have been remarkable. If you have been betting under the point totals they are hitting a millionaire making rate of over 60% over the last six seasons. It gets ever better for sports bettors as that number shoots up past 70% over the past two seasons on Thursday, Sunday, and Monday night football games.
Overall unders are always a solid bet. If you blindly bet unders this season you would be hitting just under 53% (with 53% being profitable on the standard -110 vig) which means you would be taking home money. But, if you just concentrate on the prime time unders you would be raking in the dough. This week the Jets and Giants play on Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football.